2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

UL Monroe @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLikely

UL Monroe

18.4

Northwestern

28.6

Northwestern win probability: 74%

Margin (Northwestern − UL Monroe): 10.2 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 47.0 (80% range 26 to 70)

Actual: UL Monroe 7 – Northwestern 42 (margin error 24.8, total error 2.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.