2025 Postseason · Dec 26, 2025, 6:00 PM · Ford Field (neutral site)

Central Michigan @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLean

Central Michigan

19.7

Northwestern

27.0

Northwestern win probability: 68%

Margin (Northwestern − Central Michigan): 7.3 (80% range -12 to 27)

Total: 46.7 (80% range 26 to 69)

Actual: Central Michigan 7 – Northwestern 34 (margin error 19.7, total error 5.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.