2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 7:30 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

UCLA @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLean

UCLA

21.0

Northwestern

28.8

Northwestern win probability: 69%

Margin (Northwestern − UCLA): 7.8 (80% range -12 to 28)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: UCLA 14 – Northwestern 17 (margin error 4.8, total error 18.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.