2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 7:30 PM · Kinnick Stadium
Northwestern @ Iowa
Predicted scoreLean
Northwestern
17.8
Iowa
25.6
Iowa win probability: 70%
Margin (Iowa − Northwestern): 7.8 (80% range -11 to 27)
Total: 43.4 (80% range 23 to 65)
Actual: Northwestern 14 – Iowa 40 (margin error 18.2, total error 10.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.94% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 7 | 17 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.