2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 4:00 PM · SHI Stadium
Northwestern @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreToss-up
Northwestern
25.1
Rutgers
24.7
Rutgers win probability: 49%
Margin (Rutgers − Northwestern): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Northwestern 7 – Rutgers 24 (margin error 17.4, total error 18.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.