2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · Ryan Field
Maryland @ Northwestern
Predicted scoreLikely
Maryland
33.0
Northwestern
24.0
Northwestern win probability: 30%
Margin (Northwestern − Maryland): -9.0 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Maryland 27 – Northwestern 33 (margin error 15.0, total error 3.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.