2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM · Ryan Field
UTEP @ Northwestern
Predicted scoreLikely
UTEP
19.3
Northwestern
31.8
Northwestern win probability: 78%
Margin (Northwestern − UTEP): 12.5 (80% range -7 to 33)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: UTEP 7 – Northwestern 38 (margin error 18.5, total error 6.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.