2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Ryan Field
Rutgers @ Northwestern
Predicted scoreConfident
Rutgers
20.5
Northwestern
39.2
Northwestern win probability: 87%
Margin (Northwestern − Rutgers): 18.7 (80% range -3 to 39)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:49 PM | 7.2 | 57.8 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:51 PM | 7.2 | 57.8 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:32 PM | 7.1 | 57.8 | 67% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:05 AM | 7.2 | 57.8 | 67% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:13 PM | 7.2 | 57.8 | 67% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:48 PM | 7.1 | 57.6 | 67% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:48 PM | 15.4 | 56.8 | 83% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:45 PM | 14.8 | 54.7 | 82% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:22 PM | 14.8 | 54.8 | 82% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:22 AM | 14.8 | 54.9 | 82% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:55 PM | 14.8 | 54.9 | 82% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:00 PM | 20.5 | 57.6 | 90% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:37 PM | 23.7 | 57.7 | 93% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:11 PM | 21.6 | 60.3 | 91% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:11 PM | 18.7 | 59.7 | 87% |