Louisville
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs James Madison | 14–28 | 23.4–33.9 | 3.5 |
| Week 4 | vs Bowling Green | 17–40 | 17.0–35.8 | 4.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Pittsburgh | 27–34 | 21.6–28.9 | 0.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Virginia | 30–27 | 24.8–30.5 | 8.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Miami | 21–24 | 34.2–18.7 | 18.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Boston College | 24–38 | 16.9–36.8 | 6.0 |
| Week 10 | @ Virginia Tech | 16–28 | 23.2–31.7 | 3.5 |
| Week 11 | vs California | 29–26 | 17.6–34.4 | 19.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Clemson | 20–19 | 24.1–28.9 | 5.8 |
| Week 13 | @ SMU | 38–6 | 29.5–23.4 | 25.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Kentucky | 0–41 | 22.5–24.0 | 39.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Toledo | 22–27 | 20.6–34.1 | 8.6 |