2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 7:00 PM · Lane Stadium
Louisville @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreLean
Louisville
31.7
Virginia Tech
23.2
Virginia Tech win probability: 30%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Louisville): -8.5 (80% range -29 to 12)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Louisville 28 – Virginia Tech 16 (margin error 3.5, total error 11.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.