Louisville

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Stanford	15.8–39.0	93%
Week 10	@ Georgia Tech	25.2–33.3	69%
Week 11	@ North Carolina	25.0–29.0	60%
Week 12	vs Pittsburgh	24.2–29.9	64%
Week 13	@ Kentucky	28.0–23.8	40%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Ole Miss	41–38	30.7–24.4	3.3
Week 2	vs Villanova	13–59	—	—
Week 3	vs SMU	31–41	26.0–29.1	6.9
Week 4	vs Wake Forest	30–27	22.8–32.6	12.7
Week 5	@ NC State	31–28	24.4–30.9	9.6
Week 6	vs Florida State	20–44	29.3–30.8	22.5
Week 7	@ Syracuse	26–34	23.7–33.1	1.3