2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Louisville @ Georgia Tech
Predicted scoreLean
Louisville
33.3
Georgia Tech
25.2
Georgia Tech win probability: 31%
Margin (Georgia Tech − Louisville): -8.1 (80% range -29 to 13)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:14 PM | -0.3 | 53.9 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:22 PM | -0.2 | 53.9 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:01 PM | -0.3 | 53.9 | 49% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:21 AM | -0.3 | 53.9 | 49% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:55 PM | -0.3 | 53.9 | 49% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:22 PM | -0.5 | 53.9 | 48% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:24 PM | -5.7 | 52.9 | 36% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:47 PM | -7.7 | 53.1 | 31% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:19 PM | -7.7 | 53.1 | 31% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:37 PM | -7.5 | 53.1 | 32% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:57 PM | -7.5 | 53.1 | 32% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:09 PM | -8.8 | 57.6 | 30% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:35 PM | -7.4 | 59.0 | 33% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:05 PM | -8.2 | 59.5 | 30% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:38 PM | -8.1 | 58.5 | 31% |