2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Stanford @ Louisville
Predicted scoreConfident
Stanford
16.0
Louisville
32.3
Louisville win probability: 86%
Margin (Louisville − Stanford): 16.4 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:00 PM | 16.3 | 48.3 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:08 PM | 16.3 | 48.3 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:13 PM | 16.4 | 48.3 | 86% |