Louisville
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Georgia Tech | 34–39 | 18.5–31.1 | 7.6 |
| Week 3 | @ Indiana | 14–21 | 22.2–31.5 | 2.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Boston College | 28–56 | 21.1–33.9 | 15.2 |
| Week 5 | @ NC State | 10–13 | 27.6–31.0 | 0.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Notre Dame | 20–33 | 32.6–24.8 | 20.8 |
| Week 7 | @ Pittsburgh | 38–21 | 22.8–27.5 | 21.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Duke | 0–23 | 26.7–25.7 | 24.1 |
| Week 10 | vs Virginia Tech | 3–34 | 23.1–31.6 | 22.5 |
| Week 11 | vs Virginia | 24–31 | 19.9–33.9 | 7.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Miami | 31–38 | 25.4–28.6 | 3.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Kentucky | 38–31 | 24.3–28.9 | 11.6 |
| Week 14 | @ Florida State | 16–6 | 31.0–25.8 | 4.8 |
| Week 1 | @ USC | 42–28 | 32.8–28.9 | 10.1 |