2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 7:30 PM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Boston College @ Louisville

Predicted scoreLikely

Boston College

21.1

Louisville

33.9

Louisville win probability: 79%

Margin (Louisville − Boston College): 12.8 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Boston College 28 – Louisville 56 (margin error 15.2, total error 29.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.