2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 10:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Louisville @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLean
Louisville
27.5
Pittsburgh
22.8
Pittsburgh win probability: 38%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Louisville): -4.7 (80% range -24 to 15)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Louisville 21 – Pittsburgh 38 (margin error 21.7, total error 8.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.87% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.