2023 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023, 11:30 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Louisville @ Georgia Tech

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisville

31.1

Georgia Tech

18.5

Georgia Tech win probability: 21%

Margin (Georgia Tech − Louisville): -12.6 (80% range -32 to 7)

Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Louisville 39 – Georgia Tech 34 (margin error 7.6, total error 23.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.