2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:30 PM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Virginia Tech @ Louisville

Predicted scoreLikely

Virginia Tech

23.1

Louisville

31.6

Louisville win probability: 70%

Margin (Louisville − Virginia Tech): 8.5 (80% range -12 to 29)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Virginia Tech 3 – Louisville 34 (margin error 22.5, total error 17.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.