2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 5:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
Louisville @ Miami
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisville
28.6
Miami
25.4
Miami win probability: 42%
Margin (Miami − Louisville): -3.2 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Louisville 38 – Miami 31 (margin error 3.8, total error 15.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.