Louisville
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Jacksonville State | 14–49 | 18.7–39.7 | 14.1 |
| Week 4 | vs Georgia Tech | 19–31 | 24.9–31.8 | 5.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Notre Dame | 31–24 | 33.0–21.4 | 4.6 |
| Week 6 | vs SMU | 34–27 | 25.9–28.9 | 10.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Virginia | 20–24 | 25.3–30.6 | 1.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Miami | 52–45 | 32.3–31.4 | 6.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Boston College | 27–31 | 26.1–30.2 | 0.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Clemson | 21–33 | 33.8–28.1 | 17.7 |
| Week 12 | @ Stanford | 38–35 | 20.4–34.2 | 16.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Pittsburgh | 9–37 | 23.7–30.6 | 21.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Kentucky | 14–41 | 28.3–24.1 | 31.2 |
| Week 1 | @ Washington | 34–35 | 31.2–23.8 | 8.4 |