2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Stanford Stadium
Louisville @ Stanford
Predicted scoreLikely
Louisville
34.2
Stanford
20.4
Stanford win probability: 19%
Margin (Stanford − Louisville): -13.7 (80% range -35 to 7)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Louisville 35 – Stanford 38 (margin error 16.7, total error 18.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.