2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 9:00 PM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Pittsburgh @ Louisville

Predicted scoreLean

Pittsburgh

23.7

Louisville

30.6

Louisville win probability: 67%

Margin (Louisville − Pittsburgh): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Pittsburgh 9 – Louisville 37 (margin error 21.1, total error 8.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.