2024 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2024, 11:30 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Louisville @ Boston College

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisville

30.2

Boston College

26.1

Boston College win probability: 40%

Margin (Boston College − Louisville): -4.1 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Louisville 31 – Boston College 27 (margin error 0.1, total error 1.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.