2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 4:00 PM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Miami @ Louisville

Predicted scoreToss-up

Miami

32.3

Louisville

31.4

Louisville win probability: 48%

Margin (Louisville − Miami): -0.9 (80% range -22 to 21)

Total: 63.6 (80% range 38 to 90)

Actual: Miami 52 – Louisville 45 (margin error 6.1, total error 33.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.