2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 12:30 AM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Clemson @ Louisville

Predicted scoreLean

Clemson

24.1

Louisville

28.9

Louisville win probability: 62%

Margin (Louisville − Clemson): 4.8 (80% range -15 to 25)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Clemson 20 – Louisville 19 (margin error 5.8, total error 14.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.