2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 11:30 PM · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Boston College @ Louisville

Predicted scoreConfident

Boston College

16.9

Louisville

36.8

Louisville win probability: 89%

Margin (Louisville − Boston College): 20.0 (80% range 0 to 41)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Boston College 24 – Louisville 38 (margin error 6.0, total error 8.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.