Florida International
Conference USA
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Penn State | 34–0 | 43.8–7.6 | 2.2 |
| Week 3 | vs Florida Atlantic | 28–38 | 26.1–22.3 | 13.9 |
| Week 4 | vs Delaware | 38–16 | 27.4–23.9 | 18.5 |
| Week 6 | @ UConn | 51–10 | 31.5–20.5 | 30.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Western Kentucky | 6–25 | 31.2–18.6 | 31.6 |
| Week 9 | vs Kennesaw State | 45–26 | 24.3–22.9 | 17.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Missouri State | 28–21 | 26.5–19.5 | 0.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Middle Tennessee | 30–56 | 26.8–25.6 | 27.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Liberty | 27–34 | 26.6–24.6 | 8.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Jacksonville State | 21–27 | 28.4–24.3 | 10.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Sam Houston | 16–56 | 20.0–27.6 | 32.5 |
| Week 1 | @ UTSA | 57–20 | 28.3–21.3 | 30.0 |