Sam's Scores

2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 6:00 PM · BBVA Compass Stadium (neutral site)

Florida International @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreLean
Florida International
27.6
Sam Houston
20.0
Sam Houston win probability: 31%
Margin (Sam Houston − Florida International): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Florida International 56 – Sam Houston 16 (margin error 32.5, total error 24.4)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
31170.89%
24170.85%
21140.83%
21170.80%
24240.76%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →