2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:00 PM · Beaver Stadium
Florida International @ Penn State
Predicted scoreConfident
Florida International
7.6
Penn State
43.8
Penn State win probability: 99%
Margin (Penn State − Florida International): 36.2 (80% range 16 to 57)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 30 to 74)
Actual: Florida International 0 – Penn State 34 (margin error 2.2, total error 17.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 1.36% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.27% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.22% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.18% |
| 7 | 38 | 1.16% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.