2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium
Delaware @ Florida International
Predicted scoreToss-up
Delaware
27.4
Florida International
23.9
Florida International win probability: 41%
Margin (Florida International − Delaware): -3.5 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Delaware 38 – Florida International 16 (margin error 18.5, total error 2.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 21 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.