2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 8:30 PM · Pitbull Stadium

Jacksonville State @ Florida International

Predicted scoreLean

Jacksonville State

28.4

Florida International

24.3

Florida International win probability: 40%

Margin (Florida International − Jacksonville State): -4.1 (80% range -24 to 16)

Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Jacksonville State 21 – Florida International 27 (margin error 10.1, total error 4.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.