Florida International
Conference USA
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Louisiana Tech | 22–17 | 32.6–19.1 | 8.5 |
| Week 2 | vs North Texas | 39–46 | 33.0–21.1 | 19.0 |
| Week 3 | @ UConn | 17–24 | 32.0–20.2 | 18.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Liberty | 38–6 | 34.1–18.8 | 16.7 |
| Week 6 | @ New Mexico State | 34–17 | 30.0–23.7 | 10.7 |
| Week 7 | vs UTEP | 27–14 | 27.9–22.9 | 7.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Sam Houston | 27–33 | 27.8–17.2 | 16.5 |
| Week 9 | vs Jacksonville State | 41–16 | 31.7–19.8 | 13.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Middle Tennessee | 40–6 | 31.9–19.3 | 21.4 |
| Week 12 | @ Arkansas | 44–20 | 36.1–11.5 | 0.5 |
| Week 13 | vs Western Kentucky | 41–28 | 31.6–20.5 | 1.9 |