2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 7:30 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Florida International @ UConn

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida International

20.2

UConn

32.0

UConn win probability: 77%

Margin (UConn − Florida International): 11.8 (80% range -8 to 32)

Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Florida International 24 – UConn 17 (margin error 18.8, total error 11.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.