2023 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2023, 11:30 PM · FIU Stadium
UTEP @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLean
UTEP
27.9
Florida International
22.9
Florida International win probability: 37%
Margin (Florida International − UTEP): -5.1 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: UTEP 27 – Florida International 14 (margin error 7.9, total error 9.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.