2023 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2023, 11:00 PM · FIU Stadium
Jacksonville State @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLikely
Jacksonville State
31.7
Florida International
19.8
Florida International win probability: 23%
Margin (Florida International − Jacksonville State): -11.9 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Jacksonville State 41 – Florida International 16 (margin error 13.1, total error 5.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.