Florida International

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Middle Tennessee	19.8–30.2	75%
Week 9	@ Liberty	27.2–19.7	31%
Week 10	vs Missouri State	18.7–26.0	69%
Week 11	@ Delaware	20.5–24.8	62%
Week 12	@ Kennesaw State	22.5–23.5	53%
Week 13	vs Sam Houston	17.4–28.4	77%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ South Florida	19–9	35.8–16.3	9.6
Week 2	vs Buffalo	20–33	21.0–27.6	6.4
Week 3	@ Florida Atlantic	16–10	28.0–27.0	5.0
Week 4	vs Long Island University	3–20	—	—
Week 6	vs New Mexico State	3–22	22.8–26.2	15.6
Week 7	@ Jacksonville State	27–24	23.9–24.6	3.7