2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium
Buffalo @ Florida International
Predicted scoreToss-up
Buffalo
23.3
Florida International
26.8
Florida International win probability: 59%
Margin (Florida International − Buffalo): 3.5 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:20 PM | 3.4 | 50.2 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:29 PM | 3.5 | 50.1 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:39 PM | 3.5 | 50.1 | 59% |