2026 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM · AmFirst Stadium
Florida International @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreLean
Florida International
23.2
Jacksonville State
27.6
Jacksonville State win probability: 62%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Florida International): 4.5 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:32 PM | 4.5 | 50.8 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:31 PM | 4.5 | 50.8 | 62% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:39 PM | 4.5 | 50.8 | 62% |