2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Delaware Stadium
Florida International @ Delaware
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida International
26.2
Delaware
25.8
Delaware win probability: 49%
Margin (Delaware − Florida International): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:41 PM | -0.4 | 52.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:40 PM | -0.4 | 52.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:05 PM | -0.4 | 52.0 | 49% |