2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Fifth Third Stadium
Florida International @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida International
23.8
Kennesaw State
26.4
Kennesaw State win probability: 57%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Florida International): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:46 PM | 2.6 | 50.2 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:56 PM | 2.6 | 50.2 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:52 PM | 2.7 | 50.2 | 57% |