2026 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2026, 11:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLean
Middle Tennessee
23.8
Florida International
30.7
Florida International win probability: 67%
Margin (Florida International − Middle Tennessee): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:45 PM | 6.9 | 54.5 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:45 PM | 6.9 | 54.5 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:21 PM | 6.9 | 54.5 | 67% |