2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium
Liberty @ Florida International
Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
26.6
Florida International
24.6
Florida International win probability: 45%
Margin (Florida International − Liberty): -1.9 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Liberty 27 – Florida International 34 (margin error 8.9, total error 9.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.