2025 Week 9 · Oct 21, 2025, 11:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Florida International
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kennesaw State
24.3
Florida International
22.9
Florida International win probability: 46%
Margin (Florida International − Kennesaw State): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 47.2 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: Kennesaw State 45 – Florida International 26 (margin error 17.5, total error 23.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.