2025 Week 9 · Oct 21, 2025, 11:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium

Kennesaw State @ Florida International

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kennesaw State

24.3

Florida International

22.9

Florida International win probability: 46%

Margin (Florida International − Kennesaw State): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 47.2 (80% range 26 to 70)

Actual: Kennesaw State 45 – Florida International 26 (margin error 17.5, total error 23.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.