Bowling Green
Mid-American
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Liberty | 34–24 | 32.8–17.5 | 5.3 |
| Week 3 | @ Michigan | 31–6 | 42.4–7.2 | 10.1 |
| Week 4 | vs Ohio | 38–7 | 28.6–20.8 | 23.2 |
| Week 5 | @ Georgia Tech | 27–38 | 32.2–15.8 | 27.4 |
| Week 6 | @ Miami (OH) | 27–0 | 21.6–20.5 | 26.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Buffalo | 14–24 | 25.8–21.1 | 14.7 |
| Week 8 | vs Akron | 14–41 | 17.5–26.8 | 17.7 |
| Week 10 | vs Ball State | 21–24 | 19.4–27.9 | 5.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Kent State | 19–49 | 21.2–29.4 | 21.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Toledo | 32–31 | 27.4–23.8 | 2.5 |
| Week 13 | @ Western Michigan | 10–34 | 24.5–25.9 | 22.6 |
| Week 1 | @ Minnesota | 30–24 | 34.2–13.7 | 14.5 |