Bowling Green

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Buffalo	27.6–21.3	34%
Week 9	@ Western Michigan	31.7–18.5	20%
Week 11	vs Kent State	20.6–25.1	61%
Week 12	@ Toledo	32.0–17.8	18%
Week 13	vs Massachusetts	25.1–24.4	49%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Tarleton State	20–13	—	—
Week 2	@ Nebraska	56–7	37.3–13.7	25.4
Week 3	@ Iowa State	55–7	40.2–11.7	19.5
Week 4	vs South Florida	14–6	36.3–16.4	11.8
Week 5	@ Miami (OH)	20–24	29.8–19.4	14.4
Week 6	vs Sacramento State	10–38	15.1–30.9	12.2
Week 7	vs Ball State	32–31	23.9–27.6	4.7