2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · UB Stadium
Bowling Green @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Bowling Green
23.5
Buffalo
24.7
Buffalo win probability: 53%
Margin (Buffalo − Bowling Green): 1.2 (80% range -19 to 21)
Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:43 PM | 1.2 | 48.1 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:55 PM | 1.2 | 48.1 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:53 PM | 1.2 | 48.1 | 53% |