2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM · Waldo Stadium
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Bowling Green
19.7
Western Michigan
27.2
Western Michigan win probability: 69%
Margin (Western Michigan − Bowling Green): 7.6 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:09 PM | 7.6 | 46.9 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:09 PM | 7.6 | 46.9 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:35 PM | 7.6 | 46.9 | 69% |