Bowling Green
Mid-American
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Cincinnati | 34–20 | 29.3–22.6 | 7.3 |
| Week 3 | vs Liberty | 13–23 | 28.7–26.6 | 12.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Louisville | 40–17 | 35.8–17.0 | 4.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Ohio | 35–20 | 31.0–20.2 | 4.2 |
| Week 7 | vs Toledo | 23–28 | 26.7–21.7 | 10.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Central Michigan | 27–6 | 21.0–29.2 | 29.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Kent State | 24–21 | 19.6–30.4 | 13.8 |
| Week 10 | vs Buffalo | 28–3 | 23.1–26.0 | 27.9 |
| Week 11 | @ Eastern Michigan | 27–21 | 28.7–25.1 | 2.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Akron | 19–16 | 21.6–26.7 | 8.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Massachusetts | 14–45 | 20.5–29.9 | 21.6 |