2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 4:00 PM · Dix Stadium
Bowling Green @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLikely
Bowling Green
30.4
Kent State
19.6
Kent State win probability: 25%
Margin (Kent State − Bowling Green): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Bowling Green 21 – Kent State 24 (margin error 13.8, total error 4.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.