2025 Week 14 · Nov 25, 2025, 9:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Bowling Green @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLikely

Bowling Green

29.9

Massachusetts

20.5

Massachusetts win probability: 28%

Margin (Massachusetts − Bowling Green): -9.4 (80% range -30 to 10)

Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Bowling Green 45 – Massachusetts 14 (margin error 21.6, total error 8.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.